Staying vs leaving: what factors should guide your choice?

Assessing the Situation

When faced with a survival decision, take stock of the immediate environment. Evaluate the severity of the threat, such as natural disasters, hostile individuals, or environmental hazards. Consider factors like weather conditions, available shelter, and access to food and water. A simple risk assessment formula can help: multiply the threat level (1-10) by the likelihood of the threat occurring (1-10) and the potential consequences (1-10), then add the results. A score above 50 indicates a high-risk situation.

Evaluating Resources

Next, assess your available resources, including supplies, skills, and allies. Evaluate the sufficiency of your food, water, first aid kit, and other essential items. Consider your physical and mental condition, as well as the skills you possess, such as navigation, shelter building, or emergency communication. A basic rule of thumb is to have at least three days’ worth of supplies in a survival situation. Additionally, consider whether you have a means of communication, such as a radio or phone, to signal for help.

Prioritizing Goals

Weigh your priorities for safety, well-being, and long-term goals when making your decision. Consider whether staying puts you at greater risk, but also provides access to necessary resources, such as a shelter or a means of communication. Alternatively, leaving may pose risks, such as exposure to harsh weather or hostile individuals, but also offers the potential for rescue or escape. When prioritizing, focus on the most critical needs first, such as finding shelter or accessing medical care.